Suara.com – The Prabowo-Gibran National Campaign (TKN) is increasingly optimistic that it can win one round following the electability of pair number 2 in the results of the Denny JA Indonesian Survey Circle (LSI) survey which reached more than 50 percent.
Commander of the Prabowo-Gibran Young Voters TKN (Fanta), Arief Rosyid, believes that electability will continue to increase until voting day, or to be precise on February 14 2024.
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He is optimistic that Prabowo-Gibram can attract votes from swing voters.
“God willing, the numbers will continue to rise, there will be fewer swing voters seeing the calm and clarity of Prabowo-Gibran's programs,” said Aried when contacted, Wednesday (31/1/2024).
According to Arief, it is not only votes from swing voters who are leaning towards Prabowo-Gibran, but also votes from the camps of the other two candidate pairs who are believed to be crossing over to support Prabowo-Gibran.
Commander of the Prabowo-Gibran Young Voters TKN (Fanta), Arief Rosyid. (Suara.com/Novian)
According to Arief, supporters of Anies-Muhaimin and Ganjar-Mahfud have a number of reasons why they are changing their support in the seconds leading up to voting day.
“Those who half-heartedly support 01 and 03 are also starting to shift to 02. Testimonials have changed their support because they think the candidate pair and their team only spread hatred, verbal abuse, bullying, hoaxes. Not to mention discourse number 4, they see 'losing before competing',” Arief said.
LSI Survey Denny JA
Previously, Denny JA's Indonesian Survey Circle (LSI) released the results of its latest survey regarding the electability of presidential and vice presidential candidate pairs participating in the 2024 presidential election.
As a result, the electability of candidate pair number 2 Prabowo-Gibran reached 50.7 percent.
LSI Denny JA researcher, Adjie Al Faraby, said that based on the results of his survey, Prabowo-Gibran's electability had reached above 50 percent for the first time.
“Two weeks until voting day, it is the first time that Prabowo-Gibran's electability has exceeded the magic number of 50 percent,” Adjie told reporters, Tuesday (30/1/2024).
Based on the survey results, said Adjie, the chances of Prabowo-Gibran winning the 2024 presidential election contest in one round are increasingly open. Especially if they are able to maintain this positive trend.
“If Prabowo-Gibran succeeds in maintaining its positive trend, the 2024 presidential election will be even more open after one round because with the margin of error (MoE, plus minus), Prabowo-Gibran is now at 47.8 percent (minus MoE) to 53.6 percent ( plus MoE),” he said.
Meanwhile in second place is pair number 1, Anies-Muhaimin with electability reaching 22 percent. Then pair number 3 Ganjar-Mahfud is in the bottom position with an electability of 19.7 percent.
“The Anies-Muhaimin pair and the Ganjar-Mahfud pair beat each other in the last five finals, but still with a margin of error,” he said.
For information, the LSI Denny JA survey was conducted from 16 to 26 January 2024.
The survey involved 1,200 respondents throughout Indonesia using the face-to-face interview method.
The margin of error for the survey is 2.9 percent.