Suara.com – Political researcher from the National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN) Siti Zuhro explained a number of impacts related to the Constitutional Court’s decision regarding the age limit for presidential and vice presidential candidates. According to him, this was most felt by the pair Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka and Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud MD.
It is known that the current Constitutional Court decision allows people under 40 years of age to be able to run for president or vice president as long as they have served or are currently serving as regional heads.
“As a result of the Constitutional Court’s decision, the Advanced Indonesia Coalition (KIM) declared Gibran as Prabowo’s vice presidential candidate, of course KIM’s declaration will affect the existing candidate pairs,” said Zuhro to Suara.com, Monday (23/10/2023).
“For Ganjar-Mahfud, this will be a challenge because their support votes are divided with Gibran, who incidentally is fully supported by Jokowi,” he added.
On the other hand, Zuhro believes that the issue of dynastic politics means that the Prabowo-Gibran pair will not get the full vote from Jokowi supporters because they are divided by Ganjar-Mahfud voters.
“In this case, the ones who benefit are candidate pair Anies-Imin,” stressed Zuhro.
It should be noted that a number of survey institutions have issued research results which will be released in October 2023. From a number of institutions that conducted surveys, the result was that Prabowo Subianto’s name, which has been perched on the survey board, has the potential to be cornered by Ganjar Pranowo.
Even though Prabowo’s name dominates the survey results released by six institutions from October 1 to October 23 2023, Ganjar Pranowo has a big chance of overtaking the General Chair of Gerindra.
In a survey conducted by IPSOS, for example, Ganjar Pranowo and his vice presidential candidate, Mahfud MD, were at the top of electability despite having a slight lead of less than one percent.
The IPSOS survey itself was conducted in the period 17-19 October 2023 using the telesurvey method.
Then, based on the results of a survey conducted by Indonesian Political Indicators, Ganjar got 37 percent, 4 percent ahead of Prabowo who only got 33 percent, while Anies was in third place, namely 21.5 percent.
Meanwhile, based on the results of a survey conducted by LSI in the period 16 to 18 October 2023, Prabowo-Gibran got 35.9 percent, then Ganjar-Mahfud 26.1 percent and Anies-Muhaimin only 19.6 percent. Even so, there were 18.3 percent of respondents who had not yet made their choice.
Jokowi Political Dynasty. (Suara.com/Ema Rohimah)
From this depiction, of course it is very possible that Prabowo could be overtaken.
Moreover, currently the Prabowo-Gibran couple is being confronted with quite serious discourse put forward by their political opponents, dynastic politics and nepotism.
The reason is, the Constitutional Court’s decision stipulates that a person running to become a presidential or vice presidential candidate must be at least 40 years old or has previously been a government administrator.
Of course, this is considered to be a red carpet for Gibran to advance at the national political level.
Meanwhile, on the other hand, it could be quite a stumbling block for ‘The Veteran of the Presidential Election’ Prabowo Subianto, who is the fourth time he has participated in an election contest in Indonesia.