SuaraBandung.id – Ahead of the presidential election in 2024, party machines will be marketed. A number of names of presidential candidates began to appear, in the hope of getting additional benefits.
This has also been done by several parties, including NasDem, in which three presidential candidates have been announced, including Anies Baswedan’s name.
However, is it as direct as the “advantage” earlier? Survey agencies take part in figuring out which presidential candidates are likely to enter the 2024 stock exchange.
For example, if you look at the results of the Center for Political Communication Studies (CPCS) survey, it shows that the electability of the NasDem Party has fallen to 2.1 percent.
In fact, after previously the NasDem Party was able to reach 4.0 percent in the CPCS survey in April 2022.
“The decision to appoint DKI Jakarta Governor Anies Baswedan as a presidential candidate has left NasDem behind by some nationalist voters,” said CPCS Executive Director Tri Okta as quoted by ANTARA, Thursday (4/8/2022).
If you look at the results up to three months ago, Okta continued, NasDem was still able to secure a position by achieving electability above the parliamentary threshold of 4 percent.
“The drop in support for NasDem is inversely proportional to the increase in the electability of other nationalist parties,” said Okta.
PDIP, for example, remained ahead in first place and experienced an increase in electability to 19.5 percent from 18.1 percent in April, followed by Gerindra at 13.2 percent, and Golkar at 8.8 percent.
Among the three parties that have the opportunity to carry Anies, only PKS seems to be enjoying an increase in electability.
PKS won 6.0 percent electability below PKB (7.1 percent). Meanwhile, the Democrats tend to stagnate (5.3 percent) below the PSI (5.6 percent).
According to Okta, NasDem’s decision to nominate Anies is not necessarily final.
“Nominating Anies is NasDem’s strategy to lead the coalition axis outside PDIP, Gerindra, and Golkar,” said Okta.
Okta is of the view that the map of the coalition and the presidential candidate market is still very dynamic, including NasDem’s consideration of carrying Anies.
So far, Anies is still a central figure in the Jokowi administration’s opposition camp, and is often embraced to increase his bargaining position in politics.
The CPCS survey was conducted on 22-27 July 2022 with a total of 1,200 respondents representing 34 provinces who were interviewed face-to-face. The survey method is multistage random sampling, with a margin of error of about 2.9 percent and at a confidence level of 95 percent.